Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 10.494186 11.745239 13.097702 14.670332 16.451087 18.407662 20.723990
2025-05-04 8.631522 10.347808 12.346284 14.853342 17.925701 21.582450 26.285906
2025-05-11 7.111520 9.027679 11.402083 14.578718 18.744716 24.059503 31.413090
2025-05-18 6.018364 8.022792 10.642835 14.349399 19.507963 26.506223 36.843573
2025-05-25 5.198456 7.230355 10.012948 14.147791 20.214195 28.910123 42.539298
2025-06-01 4.585736 6.622674 9.530198 14.045415 20.993513 31.466178 48.800254
2025-06-08 4.110078 6.140028 9.148023 14.010324 21.826611 34.166595 55.655706
2025-06-15 3.829746 5.906609 9.094922 14.449170 23.424232 38.241681 65.353199
2025-06-22 3.476674 5.514679 8.742583 14.350245 24.108506 40.880546 72.976462
2025-06-29 3.129133 5.090373 8.285490 14.009647 24.316704 42.698841 79.366451
2025-07-06 2.857694 4.760726 7.944649 13.817827 24.743549 44.932404 86.851783
2025-07-13 2.711545 4.626587 7.917725 14.171002 26.196302 49.238607 99.102523
2025-07-20 2.580451 4.510536 7.918867 14.592811 27.870258 54.280331 113.934451
2025-07-27 2.427333 4.339836 7.804272 14.783410 29.121885 58.676013 128.234342
2025-08-03 2.229727 4.067851 7.474438 14.514656 29.405569 61.108038 138.584862
2025-08-10 2.058888 3.829536 7.183783 14.288745 29.746013 63.707436 149.822026
2025-08-17 1.909001 3.617094 6.921588 14.089263 30.113827 66.416501 161.847809
2025-08-24 1.784655 3.442998 6.717741 13.987973 30.683556 69.668789 175.894077
2025-08-31 1.678789 3.296006 6.553996 13.953367 31.398845 73.369919 191.874762
2025-09-07 1.626383 3.253094 6.600655 14.390445 33.282759 80.222117 217.973900
2025-09-14 1.530313 3.110339 6.422006 14.292051 33.853533 83.841433 235.602889
2025-09-21 1.422574 2.933513 6.153410 13.953005 33.778465 85.762482 248.593376
2025-09-28 1.336069 2.795138 5.956453 13.762055 34.054249 88.662137 265.218060